At the risk of saying I told you so to Qantas and other airlines who recently announced they were cutting back on premium products...ah, why bother stating the obvious?
IATA's recently published Premium Traffic Monitor shows that "The number of first and business class airline passengers in March increased 10.8 percent worldwide, marking a fourth consecutive month of growth and the largest year-over-year increase measured for any month in at least two years. As business confidence and world trade have turned up sharply business travelers have returned," IATA said, while noting particularly strong growth in Asia.
Sure, there still are some trouble spots (indeed I am talking about Europe - can you say "Greeced" lightning?) and the Kangaroo route from Australia to the UK is not faring all that well, but for the most part premium demand is up. Way up.
And yes, these numbers are coming off of an abysmal 2 year stretch where no one seemed to be turning left when boarding an aircraft.
But who are we to believe - a few airlines, corporate buyers and travel agencies saying the days of premium travel are dead? Or numbers coming from the association made up of actual airlines themselves which would seem to indicate otherwise?
In previous editions of the Cafe I've lamented what I saw was the too-quick reaction by Qantas and Air New Zealand to start ripping out premium products as they said the demand for them was plummeting. If IATA's numbers are to be believed, the only thing plummeting will be those airlines' profits if they continue to pull back on premium services.
To be fair to Air New Zealand, their trimming of premium products is mainly across the Tasman. Depending on how Trans-Tasman flights are classified by IATA the numbers could be confusing as "Within SW Pacific" shows a negative March '10 vs. '09 but a higher YTD '10 vs. '09; yet "SW Pacific" is showing huge growth of premium traffic - 19.9% growth in March '10 vs. '09 and 26.7% growth year-over-year.
The Barista, is, of course, happy to pour his words in to a double espresso and swallow them quickly if I end up being wrong...but for now I'll stick with the "I told you so" to the airlines who were throwing out the premium passenger with the gently scented bubble bath water. Not sure which airline will offer on-board bubble baths first but I wouldn't put it past a few of them....
(Thanks to IATA: www.iata.org/economics and for the full report go to http://www.iata.org/whatwedo/Documents/economics/Premium-Monitor-Mar10.pdf)
No comments:
Post a Comment