Sorry for anyone here in the Cafe that's a bit bleary eyed this morning, as I'm cranking up the AC/DC in honour of our global airline industry:
(you know the guitar riff already so sing along in your head...)
Back in black
I hit the sack
I've been too long I'm glad to be back
Yes, I'm let loose
From the noose
That's kept me hanging about
I've been looking at the sky
'Cause it's gettin' me high
Forget the hearse 'cause I never die
I got nine lives
Cat's eyes
Abusin' every one of them and running wild
(Copyright 1980; B. Young, A. Young, B. Johnson)
You may ask if I've hit the espresso a bit hard this morning. But after some of my recent posts worrying about the supposed drop in premium traffic as well as the frenetic airfare discounting happening in some markets, you can forgive me if I'm now happy to hear that the airlines' worst days are behind them. Cut loose indeed - keep flyin' high boys!
IATA this week announced that they now expect airlines to post a global profit of $2.5 billion in 2010. According to IATA (http://www.iata.org/pressroom/pr/Pages/2010-06-07-01.aspx) "This is a major improvement compared with IATA’s previous forecast released in March of a $2.8 billion loss." A $5.3B turnaround? Yep, I'd say that is quite a major improvement.
Although good news for the travel industry as a whole (after all, a bankrupt airline industry is essentially a bankrupt travel industry) it also didn't stop IATA from taking a swipe at some classic "bad guys" in the industry group's eyes. Well at least the eyes of Signore Bisignani, IATA's Director General and CEO.
In the above referenced press release, Mr. Bisignani said the following: "Seeing black on the bottom line is a great achievement. The resilience of the industry has been strengthened by a decade of cost cutting, restructuring and re-engineering processes. IATA’s programs have contributed to this with $47 billion in cost savings since 2004 with efficiencies in safety auditing, fuel management, infrastructure costs, and Simplifying the Business.
"But even with all of our hard work, the result is just a 0.5% margin that does not even cover our cost of capital. The industry is fragile. The challenge to build a healthy industry requires even greater alignment of governments, labor, and industry partners. They must all understand that this industry needs to continue to reduce costs, gain efficiencies and be able to re-structure itself if it is to be sustainably profitable. We must all be prepared for a greater change,” said Bisignani.
All very true, and certainly all valid points.
But then in a speech delivered to IATA members in Berlin also this week, Mr. Bisignani blasted GDS's in particular saying: "they (GDS's) are leeches charging at least $4 per transaction when China Travel Sky does it for just $1.20. On top of that, they sell you your data with a seven-digit price tag. That is pure profit. BASTA. We will break their monopoly on your data with a cost-effective solution."
Yikes. As the old west cowboys used to say, "dem's fightin' words."
Which concerns me, as in his prepared comments in the press release about airlines coming back to profitability he professed the need for "greater alignment...of industry partners." Is yelling (albeit in Italian, which does sound cool doesn't it?) at those same partners his method of "alignment?"
Of course, Mr. Bisignani could be taking inspiration from the hard rockin' Aussies in Acca Dacca by "running wild." Perhaps being "back in black" isn't all that great for the industry after all? Depends on how you spin the tune, I guess.
Showing posts with label IATA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IATA. Show all posts
Wednesday, June 9, 2010
Thursday, May 27, 2010
I Told You So...Didn't I?
At the risk of saying I told you so to Qantas and other airlines who recently announced they were cutting back on premium products...ah, why bother stating the obvious?
IATA's recently published Premium Traffic Monitor shows that "The number of first and business class airline passengers in March increased 10.8 percent worldwide, marking a fourth consecutive month of growth and the largest year-over-year increase measured for any month in at least two years. As business confidence and world trade have turned up sharply business travelers have returned," IATA said, while noting particularly strong growth in Asia.
Sure, there still are some trouble spots (indeed I am talking about Europe - can you say "Greeced" lightning?) and the Kangaroo route from Australia to the UK is not faring all that well, but for the most part premium demand is up. Way up.
And yes, these numbers are coming off of an abysmal 2 year stretch where no one seemed to be turning left when boarding an aircraft.
But who are we to believe - a few airlines, corporate buyers and travel agencies saying the days of premium travel are dead? Or numbers coming from the association made up of actual airlines themselves which would seem to indicate otherwise?
In previous editions of the Cafe I've lamented what I saw was the too-quick reaction by Qantas and Air New Zealand to start ripping out premium products as they said the demand for them was plummeting. If IATA's numbers are to be believed, the only thing plummeting will be those airlines' profits if they continue to pull back on premium services.
To be fair to Air New Zealand, their trimming of premium products is mainly across the Tasman. Depending on how Trans-Tasman flights are classified by IATA the numbers could be confusing as "Within SW Pacific" shows a negative March '10 vs. '09 but a higher YTD '10 vs. '09; yet "SW Pacific" is showing huge growth of premium traffic - 19.9% growth in March '10 vs. '09 and 26.7% growth year-over-year.
The Barista, is, of course, happy to pour his words in to a double espresso and swallow them quickly if I end up being wrong...but for now I'll stick with the "I told you so" to the airlines who were throwing out the premium passenger with the gently scented bubble bath water. Not sure which airline will offer on-board bubble baths first but I wouldn't put it past a few of them....
(Thanks to IATA: www.iata.org/economics and for the full report go to http://www.iata.org/whatwedo/Documents/economics/Premium-Monitor-Mar10.pdf)
IATA's recently published Premium Traffic Monitor shows that "The number of first and business class airline passengers in March increased 10.8 percent worldwide, marking a fourth consecutive month of growth and the largest year-over-year increase measured for any month in at least two years. As business confidence and world trade have turned up sharply business travelers have returned," IATA said, while noting particularly strong growth in Asia.
Sure, there still are some trouble spots (indeed I am talking about Europe - can you say "Greeced" lightning?) and the Kangaroo route from Australia to the UK is not faring all that well, but for the most part premium demand is up. Way up.
And yes, these numbers are coming off of an abysmal 2 year stretch where no one seemed to be turning left when boarding an aircraft.
But who are we to believe - a few airlines, corporate buyers and travel agencies saying the days of premium travel are dead? Or numbers coming from the association made up of actual airlines themselves which would seem to indicate otherwise?
In previous editions of the Cafe I've lamented what I saw was the too-quick reaction by Qantas and Air New Zealand to start ripping out premium products as they said the demand for them was plummeting. If IATA's numbers are to be believed, the only thing plummeting will be those airlines' profits if they continue to pull back on premium services.
To be fair to Air New Zealand, their trimming of premium products is mainly across the Tasman. Depending on how Trans-Tasman flights are classified by IATA the numbers could be confusing as "Within SW Pacific" shows a negative March '10 vs. '09 but a higher YTD '10 vs. '09; yet "SW Pacific" is showing huge growth of premium traffic - 19.9% growth in March '10 vs. '09 and 26.7% growth year-over-year.
The Barista, is, of course, happy to pour his words in to a double espresso and swallow them quickly if I end up being wrong...but for now I'll stick with the "I told you so" to the airlines who were throwing out the premium passenger with the gently scented bubble bath water. Not sure which airline will offer on-board bubble baths first but I wouldn't put it past a few of them....
(Thanks to IATA: www.iata.org/economics and for the full report go to http://www.iata.org/whatwedo/Documents/economics/Premium-Monitor-Mar10.pdf)
Thursday, April 1, 2010
I’m “Fee” To Do What I Want...Any Old Time...
Travellers don’t understand them. Corporate travel managers loathe them. And airlines love them.
What are they? Fees. Lots, and lots, of fees.
US carriers have elevated the auxiliary fee to an art form, finding all sorts of ways to charge the traveller extra for things that used to be standard. Checked bags. Choosing your seat. Nabbing an exit row. Food (bad, good or otherwise.) And my personal favourite- pillows and blankets. Laying your head down for a snooze and paying for the privilege is no longer just the business model of hotels apparently.
But what really is driving me nuts is not so much these numerous fees (which, unfortunately, are obviously here to stay and will be leveraged by more and more Asia Pacific carriers in the near future- more on this in a moment) but the fact that both airlines and the distribution systems which help sell seats for those airlines really don’t seem to be making things easy for those people buying and booking their product.
Case in point: Abacus recently announced the findings of the Abacus Merchandising Survey 2010 after interviewing Asian airline executives about their plans for capturing ancillary revenue through new fees charged to their customers (read the article courtesy of TravelMole here. http://www.travelmole.com/stories/1141434.php?mpnlog=1) Abacus vice president of marketing, Brett Henry, said, “The survey has made it clear that airlines in all segments across Asia, not just LCCs, are making ancillary revenues a key component of their future revenue growth strategies.” Well surprise, surprise.
But what’s troubling for everyone who works in the trenches in booking, tracking and reporting on airline costs for corporations (read: travel management companies and corporate travel buyers) is that there was very little Abacus said about what they plan to do about finding automated solutions for managing these fees. In fact, if you read the article closely – they said absolutely nothing about what they plan to do in terms of offering travel agencies solutions for being able to book, track and manage such fees so that corporations have a clear understanding of how they impact their business travel expenditure.
To be fair to Abacus, I’ve not heard or read anything from the other GDS’ with respect to their plans about ancillary fee management/automation/process improvements in Asia Pacific. For US and European markets, the major GDS’ are spending millions on developing solutions for airlines to help them merchandise, market and sell all these extra “services” with fees attached. But there seems to be very little in the way of how travel management companies are going to muddle through in the interim. Especially in Asia Pacific where this is an issue that is yet to really hit the radar of regional travel buyers and agencies, but I’m sure will be a front-of-mind migraine very, very soon.
So on that level, kudos to Abacus for the wake-up call to the Asia Pacific corporate travel community.
But now the challenge is- will Abacus now back up their research with solutions? And if not them, who else will step up?
And in the meantime – to all the TMC’s and corporate buyers out there – to paraphrase the Rolling Stones: be free, to do you want...for now, because pretty soon there will be no freedom from fees.
EXTRA SHOT FOR THE DAY:
Last week I questioned the seemingly full-on retreat by airlines like Qantas, BA and Air New Zealand with respect to traditional premium on-board products given what seems to be a relatively healthy rebound in demand in Asia Pacific at least. Since then, Qantas is reportedly reducing their SYD-JFK services to remove the daily B747 SYD-LAX-JFK services and replace it with an A330 service, but only 5 days a week.
The reduction is frequency is one thing, but it also means that there will no longer be First or Premium Economy products offered through to JFK from SYD as they only exist on the B747. And that may turn out to be a bad idea, given that many companies who have used the GFC to pull back their air spend and ask travellers move from Business down to Premium Economy (or even Economy.) And now Qantas is eliminating that “step-down” option for corporate travel buyers. So now all you QF Freaky Fliers, if you want to go to the Big Apple, it’s either the A380 then transfer to American Airlines (ugh) or scramble for limited business class seats on an A330. Things that make you go hmmm....
AND NOW FOR A DOUBLE EXTRA SHOT:
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced that February 2010 international scheduled air traffic showed a 9.5% year-on-year rise in passenger demand. Even more surprising, given that February isn’t usually a high-traffic month, IATA reported that adjusted for seasonality passenger traffic then translates to an all-time record February load factor of 79.3%.
So, some would think the airlines should be breaking out the bubbly rather than the doom-and-gloom quarterly earnings they’ve actually been preparing the investment community for. Yes, comparing February 2010 to February 2009 is like comparing apples to worms (ie- 2009 was an aberration) nonetheless the adjusted load factor record is somewhat astonishing.
So if you’re like me and have experienced packed airports, crammed planes, and waitlisted flights recently, you’re probably scratching your head like I’m scratching mine wondering: how on Earth can’t these airlines be making money????
I love the travel industry, but you couldn’t pay me enough to be in airline revenue management. When the numbers show that things are bad, but the “physical” indicators like the aforementioned packed planes make one think that times are rather good, would make for quite an unsatisfactory job I’d think. Not that I’d be very good at it anyway....
What are they? Fees. Lots, and lots, of fees.
US carriers have elevated the auxiliary fee to an art form, finding all sorts of ways to charge the traveller extra for things that used to be standard. Checked bags. Choosing your seat. Nabbing an exit row. Food (bad, good or otherwise.) And my personal favourite- pillows and blankets. Laying your head down for a snooze and paying for the privilege is no longer just the business model of hotels apparently.
But what really is driving me nuts is not so much these numerous fees (which, unfortunately, are obviously here to stay and will be leveraged by more and more Asia Pacific carriers in the near future- more on this in a moment) but the fact that both airlines and the distribution systems which help sell seats for those airlines really don’t seem to be making things easy for those people buying and booking their product.
Case in point: Abacus recently announced the findings of the Abacus Merchandising Survey 2010 after interviewing Asian airline executives about their plans for capturing ancillary revenue through new fees charged to their customers (read the article courtesy of TravelMole here. http://www.travelmole.com/stories/1141434.php?mpnlog=1) Abacus vice president of marketing, Brett Henry, said, “The survey has made it clear that airlines in all segments across Asia, not just LCCs, are making ancillary revenues a key component of their future revenue growth strategies.” Well surprise, surprise.
But what’s troubling for everyone who works in the trenches in booking, tracking and reporting on airline costs for corporations (read: travel management companies and corporate travel buyers) is that there was very little Abacus said about what they plan to do about finding automated solutions for managing these fees. In fact, if you read the article closely – they said absolutely nothing about what they plan to do in terms of offering travel agencies solutions for being able to book, track and manage such fees so that corporations have a clear understanding of how they impact their business travel expenditure.
To be fair to Abacus, I’ve not heard or read anything from the other GDS’ with respect to their plans about ancillary fee management/automation/process improvements in Asia Pacific. For US and European markets, the major GDS’ are spending millions on developing solutions for airlines to help them merchandise, market and sell all these extra “services” with fees attached. But there seems to be very little in the way of how travel management companies are going to muddle through in the interim. Especially in Asia Pacific where this is an issue that is yet to really hit the radar of regional travel buyers and agencies, but I’m sure will be a front-of-mind migraine very, very soon.
So on that level, kudos to Abacus for the wake-up call to the Asia Pacific corporate travel community.
But now the challenge is- will Abacus now back up their research with solutions? And if not them, who else will step up?
And in the meantime – to all the TMC’s and corporate buyers out there – to paraphrase the Rolling Stones: be free, to do you want...for now, because pretty soon there will be no freedom from fees.
EXTRA SHOT FOR THE DAY:
Last week I questioned the seemingly full-on retreat by airlines like Qantas, BA and Air New Zealand with respect to traditional premium on-board products given what seems to be a relatively healthy rebound in demand in Asia Pacific at least. Since then, Qantas is reportedly reducing their SYD-JFK services to remove the daily B747 SYD-LAX-JFK services and replace it with an A330 service, but only 5 days a week.
The reduction is frequency is one thing, but it also means that there will no longer be First or Premium Economy products offered through to JFK from SYD as they only exist on the B747. And that may turn out to be a bad idea, given that many companies who have used the GFC to pull back their air spend and ask travellers move from Business down to Premium Economy (or even Economy.) And now Qantas is eliminating that “step-down” option for corporate travel buyers. So now all you QF Freaky Fliers, if you want to go to the Big Apple, it’s either the A380 then transfer to American Airlines (ugh) or scramble for limited business class seats on an A330. Things that make you go hmmm....
AND NOW FOR A DOUBLE EXTRA SHOT:
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced that February 2010 international scheduled air traffic showed a 9.5% year-on-year rise in passenger demand. Even more surprising, given that February isn’t usually a high-traffic month, IATA reported that adjusted for seasonality passenger traffic then translates to an all-time record February load factor of 79.3%.
So, some would think the airlines should be breaking out the bubbly rather than the doom-and-gloom quarterly earnings they’ve actually been preparing the investment community for. Yes, comparing February 2010 to February 2009 is like comparing apples to worms (ie- 2009 was an aberration) nonetheless the adjusted load factor record is somewhat astonishing.
So if you’re like me and have experienced packed airports, crammed planes, and waitlisted flights recently, you’re probably scratching your head like I’m scratching mine wondering: how on Earth can’t these airlines be making money????
I love the travel industry, but you couldn’t pay me enough to be in airline revenue management. When the numbers show that things are bad, but the “physical” indicators like the aforementioned packed planes make one think that times are rather good, would make for quite an unsatisfactory job I’d think. Not that I’d be very good at it anyway....
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